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四川省城镇居民消费支出与可支配收入的实证分析

发表时间:2009-03-15  浏览量:2084  下载量:832
全部作者: 陈雪灵,任大廷
作者单位: 四川农业大学经济管理学院
摘 要: 为研究四川省城镇居民消费支出与收入的相关性,探讨城镇居民可支配收入与消费性支出之间数量关系的基本规律,揭示可支配收入在居民消费性支出中的作用,为四川省宏观经济运行提出合理化建议,根据1977年至2006年四川省城镇居民消费性支出与可支配收入的基本数据,应用线性回归分析的方法建立理论模型对四川省城镇居民消费性支出与可支配收入之间数量关系进行研究。研究得出1977年至2005年四川省城镇居民消费性支出与可支配收入的一元线性回归方程,经检验,该方程的拟合优度很高,相对误差较小,有效揭示了四川省城镇居民可支配收入与消费性支出之间数量关系的基本规律,可用于四川省城镇居民消费性支出的预测,证明了增加居民收入来刺激消费,增加消费性支出的必要性。在此基础上提出了增加居民收入,改善消费环境,完善相关配套措施以增加居民消费支出,提高消费水平的建议。
关 键 词: 计量经济学;消费性支出;可支配收入;一元线性回归
Title: Empirical analysis on the relationship between consumption expenditure and disposable income of urban residents in Sichuan Province
Author: CHEN Xueling, REN Dating
Organization: College of Economics and Management, Sichuan Agricultural University
Abstract: In order to research the correlation between consumption expenditure and disposable income of urban residents in Sichuan Province,this paper discusses the basic law of their quantity relationship, reveals the role of disposable income in consumption expenditure of urban residents, and gives rationalization suggestions for the macroeconomic operation in Sichuan Province. According to the basic data of urban residents’ consumption expenditure and disposable income in Sichuan Province from 1977 to 2006, by means of the simple linear regression model, this paper analyzes the quantity relationship between the consumption expenditure and disposable income. The simple linear regression effectively reveals the basic law of quantity relationship between the consumption expenditure and disposable income of urban residents and can be used to predict the urban residents’ consumption expenditure in Sichuan Province. Based on that above, this paper gives suggestions about increment of residents’ income, improvement of consumption environment, perfection of related measures to increase residents’ consumption expenditure and increment of consumption level.
Key words: econometrics; consumption expenditure; disposable income; simple linear regression
发表期数: 2009年3月第5期
引用格式: 陈雪灵,任大廷. 四川省城镇居民消费支出与可支配收入的实证分析[J]. 中国科技论文在线精品论文,2009,2(5):539-543.
 
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