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汉江中下游地区水资源短缺风险分析

发表时间:2012-07-31  浏览量:1313  下载量:620
全部作者: 顾文权,邵东国
作者单位: 武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室
摘 要: 结合风险理论,应用Thomas-Fiering模型、Box-Cox数据转换模型及自优化模拟调度模型对汉江中下游地区水资源短缺风险进行了量化分析,并对主要风险因子进行敏感性分析,结果表明汉江中下游地区水资源短缺风险对需水量最为敏感。
关 键 词: 水利管理;水资源;风险;汉江中下游
Title: Water shortage risk analysis in middle and lower Hanjiang River
Author: GU Wenquan, SHAO Dongguo
Organization: State Key Lab of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Sciences, Wuhan University
Abstract: According to risk theory, the water shortage risk in middle and lower Hanjiang River is evaluated using Thomas-Fiering model, Box-Cox data transfer model, and self-optimizing regulation model. Sensitive analysis of main risk factors are also made, which show that the water shortage risk in middle and lower Hanjiang River is mostly sensitive to water demand factor.
Key words: water resources management; water resources; risk; middle and lower Hanjiang River
发表期数: 2012年7月第14期
引用格式: 顾文权,邵东国. 汉江中下游地区水资源短缺风险分析[J]. 中国科技论文在线精品论文,2012,5(14):1399-1402.
 
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