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汉江中下游需水模拟方法研究

发表时间:2013-01-31  浏览量:1546  下载量:600
全部作者: 顾文权,邵东国
作者单位: 武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室
摘 要: 需水长系列模拟是进行水资源规划与管理的基础,在进行模拟的过程中,需水相关系数是模拟的薄弱环节。引入Thomas-Fiering及Box-Cox数据转换方法,模拟了500年汉江中下游地区需水过程。经过检验,结果表明该方法均值、标准差及相关系数均能很好地反映实际情况,具有较高的精度,为区域需水预测提供了新方法。
关 键 词: 水利管理;需水模拟;Thomas-Fiering;数据转换;汉江中下游
Title: Research on method of water demand simulation in middle and lower reach of Hanjiang river
Author: GU Wenquan, SHAO Dongguo
Organization: State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Sciences, Wuhan University
Abstract: Long series simulation of water demand is the basis of water resources planning and management. During the process of water demand simulation, the correlation coefficient of water demand is a difficult point simulation. In this paper, the data transfer methods of Thomas-Fiering and Box-Cox are introduced for simulating the water demand in middle and lower reach of Hangjiang river for 500 years. This model is proved to be precise by comparing the statistical parameters such as mean, standard deviation, and correlationship coefficient with those of real situations, which might provide new method for water demand forecasting.
Key words: water management; water demand simulation; Thomas-Fiering; data transfer; middle and lower reach of Hangjiang river
发表期数: 2013年1月第2期
引用格式: 顾文权,邵东国. 汉江中下游需水模拟方法研究[J]. 中国科技论文在线精品论文,2013,6(2):189-193.
 
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