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贸易投资便利化的门槛效应
发表时间：2019-03-22 浏览量：1727 下载量：178
| 全部作者： | 喻胜华，聂早暖 |
| 作者单位： | 湖南大学经济与贸易学院 |
| 摘 要： | 基于2010年至2016年46个“一带一路”沿线国家的平衡面板数据，首先采用广义矩估计方法（generalized method of moments，GMM）实证检验贸易投资便利化对“一带一路”沿线国家双边贸易额的影响。在此基础上，建立静态面板门槛模型进一步检验影响双边贸易额发生差异的贸易投资便利化的门槛特征，并从基础设施质量、信息技术应用、经济与政治环境、金融服务和海关边境管制五个方面测算相应的门槛效应。研究结果表明，贸易投资便利化对双边贸易额有显著的正向影响；经济与政治环境和海关边境管制存在双重门槛效应；当经济与政治环境和海关边境管制水平突破门限后位于优化区间时，贸易投资便利化对双边贸易额的促进作用会进一步凸显。 |
| 关 键 词： | 应用统计数学；贸易投资便利化；“一带一路”；面板门槛回归 |
| Title： | Threshold effect of trade and investment facilitation |
| Author： | YU Shenghua, NIE Zaonuan |
| Organization： | School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University |
| Abstract： | This paper is based on the balance panel data of 46 countries along with the Belt and Road in 2010 to 2016. We first use the generalized method of moments (GMM) to empirically test the influence of trade and investment facilitation on the bilateral trade volume in the countries along with the Belt and Road. On this basis, we establish a static panel threshold model to further test the threshold characteristics of trade and investment facilitation, which make difference in bilateral trade volume, and measure the corresponding threshold effect in five aspects: the quality of infrastructure, information technology applications, economic and political environment, financial services and customs border control. The results show that trade and investment facilitation has a significantly positive impact on bilateral trade volume. Economic and political environment as well as the customs border control has double threshold effect. When the level of economic and political environment as well as the customs border control is located in the optimum range after breaking through the threshold, trade and investment facilitation will further highlight the positive impact on the bilateral trade volume. |
| Key words： | applied statistical mathematics; trade and investment facilitation; the Belt and Road; panel threshold regression |
| 发表期数： | 2019年2月第1期 |
| 引用格式： | 喻胜华，聂早暖. 贸易投资便利化的门槛效应[J]. 中国科技论文在线精品论文，2019，12（1）：48-62. |
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